Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 3.647196 4.357290 5.149486 6.095957 7.192993 8.421438 9.897969
2025-08-17 2.514022 3.387131 4.464697 5.880957 7.680486 9.876693 12.744063
2025-08-24 1.908518 2.843467 4.097613 5.877797 8.309752 11.481795 15.891174
2025-08-31 1.511838 2.459542 3.825623 5.895356 8.898631 13.034811 19.082516
2025-09-07 1.208172 2.130491 3.549517 5.828137 9.314181 14.346524 22.029330
2025-09-14 0.938445 1.789684 3.184027 5.549709 9.352211 15.084660 24.187840
2025-09-21 0.778934 1.594409 3.007132 5.523205 9.745123 16.351879 27.201618
2025-09-28 0.652451 1.429114 2.847977 5.492458 10.109937 17.586957 30.245961
2025-10-05 0.601845 1.395712 2.911775 5.845478 11.137312 19.946994 35.232602
2025-10-12 0.536694 1.319120 2.881771 6.021228 11.869620 21.874549 39.654789
2025-10-19 0.489464 1.270144 2.895342 6.274778 12.757362 24.123078 44.760308
2025-10-26 0.424282 1.167305 2.784200 6.271066 13.168496 25.575074 48.609112
2025-11-02 0.347927 1.023014 2.567237 6.035295 13.132299 26.260893 51.233149
2025-11-09 0.286242 0.899751 2.374517 5.821481 13.112435 26.970420 53.950674
2025-11-16 0.248210 0.828612 2.287010 5.818138 13.506608 28.468755 58.190768
2025-11-23 0.216939 0.768154 2.214017 5.835474 13.941234 30.071347 62.726267
2025-11-30 0.186052 0.700487 2.111085 5.768841 14.188330 31.323901 66.679809
2025-12-07 0.150981 0.609501 1.931091 5.492919 13.949012 31.588855 68.747405
2025-12-14 0.131108 0.562032 1.858047 5.466653 14.258465 32.978845 73.095814
2025-12-21 0.113879 0.518424 1.787515 5.436184 14.552979 34.355587 77.500445
2025-12-28 0.110328 0.523857 1.859692 5.786017 15.767839 37.745640 86.171510
2026-01-04 0.101824 0.508015 1.865798 5.960189 16.579190 40.327306 93.332407
2026-01-11 0.096011 0.501260 1.898715 6.211472 17.599400 43.425079 101.733694